Chopper current prices will fall back to fall five years ago

 Chopper: The price will fall back to or knowledge of money the club five years ago
Notice: Following the Beijing, Shenzhen and the enthusiasm of the majority of investors are sought after, chopper's trip to Shanghai, as a Investment Opportunities, However, what has happened here, even if the Chinese society have no courage to admit facts, that the revival of the Chinese nation, it is not our generation do the same, nor is it a matter of 80 after 90, but a matter of history the. By now, the issue price has been very simple, either do not fall, it will fall back to fall 2004. Who is this courage, courage to take this risk?
first talk about or do not fall. many government departments has been given and not fall for many reasons, including economic growth, and so, in fact everyone knows, the Chinese economy of excess capacity, and promote national economic growth is going the way consumers, and most people do not spending power, so to pull it asset prices, and driving asset price inflation is precisely the reverse effect from not only increased the cost of living, and more restrained consumption, while limiting the production, resulting in a significant increase in social unemployment.
a reason, but that no one has overlooked. The reason is that reform and opening up, many people already have a huge amount of wealth, coupled with the housing reform since the number of urban families now have property rights, maintaining the current prices, will allow these people psychologically comfort. coupled with the property interests of the chain is cast in gold, very strong. In 2008, it would almost cut off the root chain, prices would resolve the bubble, rational regression, however, critical juncture, the days do not woo China, a U.S. financial crisis to find a pretext to interest groups, use of government public right, this build even stronger links of the chain.
to let these people who have a huge amount of real estate comfort, Chinese society will have to pay anything cost? Simply put, the next five to eight years, all the Chinese people will work for the high prices to fill the house and now the real value of the part between the value of wealth, or what the level of real wealth to resolve the bubble, real value to fill the gap between the value and virtual. The value is how much? The price is the true value of the virtual value is doubled (in 70 cities nationwide weighted average price to count). This is the room in 10 years period of price increases, China's GDP total of nearly 170 trillion, according to an annual average of the contribution of real estate on the GDP calculation, the real estate accounted for 18 trillion, about 9 trillion of wealth to fill out this virtual wealth. < br> Our fiscal year revenues of nearly 6 trillion, but only central government expenditures have more than 55 thousand million, not including the local government's budget deficit. Data show that the local government's budget deficit could top 10 trillion this year Therefore, the Government is no money to fill the hole 9 trillion, not to mention the economic crisis did not happen, do not need to be filled. So, obviously, depends on the income of urban residents to fill. As for the way to allow city residents to fill the hole, is still unknown. raise taxes, inflation, and so methods were able to produce. In short people want to come to bear, and urban residents is only a year in disposable 1.4 trillion of wealth, therefore, need more than 6 years. This There is a problem, 70% with only a house of people will want to hold the person who sets the same range of housing costs, and improve the living environment of their inhibition.
look at fall. 600 million every year university graduates in need of employment, to rural employment should be one of the few in recent years, on the contrary, the employment of migrant workers to the city of 1.4 million. their income levels can not buy a house now. There is only a 70% residential urban residents, it is impossible to improve the living conditions. So, in the current environment for economic growth, in the overwhelming majority of real purchasing power of urban residents in front of the house is now halved still a lot of people can not afford, even if bought onwards, and also inhibit the other consumer, the real economic benefits to society without employment.
solve this problem, of course, many, some time does not allow some room for more and more. now taken by the government residential land is rolling out a way to solve this problem, however, can not be Xuju Min in the case of self-help housing, developers have become accustomed to huge profits, regardless of the government to invest the reserve ratio down to what level, the developer is not to take, even took place, the development of the product is not available to ordinary urban residents, but to provide to property speculators. in which supply and demand, you increase the supply of land, what is the use? what developers obligation to solve the house problem for the general population. So, get to the developers of some of the terms, but the residential land or capital as a financial leverage tool for speculation, or simply hoarding it does not develop.
government protection of housing that's more of a small, very simple reason, of course, can not be achieved to maximize the interests of local governments. the beginning of this year's launch and speak about hundreds and hundreds of millions of square meters of residential social security and win the support of the people, to the year-end launch of several buildings hastily the news media coverage about it, be good show. that context, people only know that affordable housing can not buy, do not know the government did not even hard. So, whether it is their own homes or to improve the type, only developers to buy the house. Now the question is to the current price or half the purchasing power of only part of the release from the solve the housing problem but also thousands of miles apart.
house questions are not resolved, we do not dare consumption; once bought a house, and has no money to spend. so a vicious cycle, a direct result of the overall surplus in the domestic energy, domestic consumption of the serious shortage of overall real economy recession, the culprit is in the high prices. global No purchasing power of urban house prices than double when compared to house prices and income to ten times or even ten times, they can support three years, with the exception of China is an exception. things have far to look at Chinese society How to choose, is to continue to choose high prices, or seek to collapse, so that prices return to reason.
choose to maintain high prices, the end was a hard landing for the economy. bank risk the outbreak of physical depression, urban living costs, Chinese society will fall into five to eight years for up to by all city residents pay for the high prices being hard. the choice of housing prices fell, but the redistribution of social wealth in the value orientation is conducive to people's livelihood, but , the majority of the purchasing power of urban residents can be inspired by, and thus activate the production, is conducive to the overall revitalization of the real economy and society to improve the employment rate, and maximize the creation of social wealth.
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